Precipitation outlook

Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions. Includes ability to download reports and associated metadata in csv format, precipitation outlook. Reports include rain, snow, ice, and severe weather, precipitation outlook well as other significant information from storm spotters. Displays the climatological significance of precipitation forecast by WPC.

These include day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Unlike regular "zone forecasts" issued by a local National Weather Service office, the climatological outlooks provide probability forecasts for both temperature and precipitation, divided into tercile groups: below normal, near normal, and above normal. For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here. Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Latest Day Temperature Outlook. Latest 1-Month Precipitation Outlook.

Precipitation outlook

Colors show where total precipitation has an increased chance of being higher or lower than usual during the next three months. The darker the shading, the greater the chance for the indicated condition. White areas have equal chances for precipitation totals that are below, near, or above the long-term average median for the next three months. Climate scientists base future climate outlooks on current patterns in the ocean and atmosphere. They examine projections from climate and weather models and consider recent trends. They also check historical records to see how much precipitation fell when patterns were similar in the past. Water managers, farmers, and forestry officials have an intense interest in precipitation outlooks. They use them to help make decisions about water resources, irrigation, and fire-fighting resources. Flood forecasters also use these outlooks. They want to know as early as possible if an area is likely to receive more precipitation than usual.

While this low then continues to spin slowly and precipitation outlook, it will produce an extended temporal duration of impressive synoptic lift through divergence downstream across the Four Corners and Central Rockies, with additional ascent occurring in the post-frontal upslope regime as a cold front sags southward through the Plains. Experimental Winter Storm Outlook. They examine projections from climate and weather models and consider recent trends.

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. Using the climatology period —, the 6—10 day and 8—14 day outlooks depict whether the probability percent chance of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. The monthly and seasonal outlooks depict the probability percent chance of above-or below-normal conditions. The colored shading on the map indicates the degree of confidence the forecaster has in the category indicated. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence.

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. According to forecasts from the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, heavy snowfall is forecast in the Colorado Front Range area from March 14—15, while heavy precipitation with this storm system is also likely across other parts of the Four Corners states. Aside from portions of the Four Corners states, much of the West is likely to stay dry through Monday evening. Farther east, through Monday evening, half an inch or more of precipitation is forecast from central Nebraska eastward into parts of the Rust Belt. Rainfall amounts of a half inch to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, are also forecast from central Texas eastward through southeast Oklahoma, Arkansas and southeast Missouri to most of Georgia and Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center's 6—10 day forecast valid March 19—23 favors near-normal or above-normal precipitation across the contiguous U. In Hawaii, below-normal precipitation is likely on all islands except for the Big Island, where near-normal precipitation is favored. Wetter-than-normal weather is favored for central, northern, and western Alaska, while drier-than-normal weather is favored in southeast Alaska. Warmer-than-normal temperatures are favored across parts of the West, especially in Utah, Nevada, California, Idaho, Washington, and Oregon, in parts of the central and southern Great Plains, and in Alaska, especially in the western reaches of the state.

Precipitation outlook

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While this low then continues to spin slowly and retrograde, it will produce an extended temporal duration of impressive synoptic lift through divergence downstream across the Four Corners and Central Rockies, with additional ascent occurring in the post-frontal upslope regime as a cold front sags southward through the Plains. Day 1 Day 2 Day 3. The Climate Prediction Center updates their monthly precipitation outlook on the third Thursday of each calendar month. We value your feedback Help us improve our content Your Email Address. Dataset Details Monthly images from to present Download Directories Click on any of the links below to view a directory listing of images and assets related to this dataset. Medium Range Forecasts Legacy Page :. Colors show where total precipitation has an increased chance of being higher or lower than usual during the next three months. Monthly and Seasonal Outlook Archive —View past monthly and seasonal outlooks from October to the present. The guidance does appear to be converging on a deeper more SW aligned system, creating confluent flow emerging out of the Pacific and streaming northeast, especially within the mb layer. Site Section. Weather News Gas prices have surged to four-month highs. As the main upper trough presses eastward through the western U. Mountain snows spreading into the northern and central Rockies on Wednesday before heavy snow develops over central Colorado Wednesday night However, the ensembles are more supportive of the upper low hanging back through at least Tuesday as the northern stream trough speeds eastward, and this has support from most of the EC-initialized ML models as well as the CMC.

Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions. Includes ability to download reports and associated metadata in csv format.

The probability of receiving at least 0. Weather Map. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence. Weather News Gas prices have surged to four-month highs. Latest 1-Month Temperature Outlook. What experts say about the theories behind 'chemtrails'. Monthly and Seasonal Outlook Archive —View past monthly and seasonal outlooks from October to the present. Looking for State or Local Maps? Analyzed at 03Z Tue Mar 12, Latest model guidance continues to show fairly good agreement on the large scale forecast, but a lot of differences in the details. Plots of GEFS probabilistic forecast of precipitation, temperature, and sea-level pressure exceeding various thresholds. Given the support from the ensemble means, the WPC forecast also leaned more on holding the low back, and interestingly enough, both of the 00z runs of the GFS and ECMWF tonight which was available after forecast generation time also jumped back into this camp as well. News Headlines. Please select one of the following:.