Nfl referee betting trends

We tend to only focus on NFL referees after a controversial decision or bad no-call. Yet each head NFL referee and his respective crew interprets the game differently. Nfl referee betting trends insight into the way a game will be officiated can have immense value in the betting market. A referee who calls more penalties for defensive holding and roughing the passer has a far different impact on game flow than a ref who focuses more on offensive holding and false starts.

The Action Network has combed through mounds of referee data to give you the most pertinent trends that bettors should know heading into this weekend's NFL Championship Games. The following refs will head up Sunday's two games:. Here are the most relevant betting trends associated with these referees in these specific matchups, thanks to our data guru Evan Abrams. That includes a record straight up and an ATS record at home. That's a general trend with Smith as referee. Underdogs seem to lose constantly — but tend to cover. Dogs are all-time.

Nfl referee betting trends

The third team on the field in every NFL game are the officials, and different groups have different tendencies. With a rotating set of officiating crews, games are called differently and are unique every time two teams square off, and how referee's call contests can't be understated -- especially for bettors. There are some referee groups that call more penalties that can influence decision making from each team, and others that let players be more physical. Here's a handy guide to get acquainted with each officiating crew for the four postseason games in the NFL Divisional Round. Hussey's crew has a common theme, home team and unders. Since becoming a head ref, home teams are against the spread ATS while unders are cashing at a high rate, , per The Action Network when Hussey's teams are manning the whistle. The difference in the two numbers are a handful of neutral site games, but it's clear that Hussey's crew does tend to shade towards a particular side. Kemp's groups were quick to throw flags this season, particularly on the road team. Kemp and his officials called the second most penalties in the NFL this season, for 1, yards, per NFLpenalties. However, there wasn't a tangible impact on the spread over the course of the season. In fact, road teams were ATS in with Kemp's crew in charge. Vinovich is an under machine as a referee. In games called by his group, the under has cashed at an astronomical rate, going , including officiating an under in seven of his last eight playoff games. While there's no glaring trend as to why, Vinovich doesn't call an alarmingly amount of penalties in either direction, Vinovich unders have been a cash cow for years. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Its coaching staff and its core group of players provide them with an edge in this matchup. Texans vs. US Betting.

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Okay, referees aren't going to alter this game for nefarious reasons. But there are particular tendencies and trends that bettors can glean based on data. Thanks to our esteemed data guru Evan Abrams, we have distinct against the spread ATS and straight up trends for each referee crew in each Wild Card game this weekend. Meanwhile, Martin is also ATS for the road team. In games with referee Brad Rogers, the Chiefs are straight up. All three games have taken place since With referee Carl Cheffers at the helm, Josh Allen is straight up. But underdogs are also ATS Underdogs are.

Nfl referee betting trends

Immediately, I groaned, as I knew his overwhelming tendency to favor the road team, and I wanted nothing more than to see as clean and unbiased a game as possible. Across the NFL, home teams have won With Smith, the rate precipitously drops down to Maybe the road teams are just that much better in the games he is assigned to call. I hoped that was the case, but then I looked at the great equalizer: the point spread. That means that even if home teams were winning only And the fun is not over. Our weekly postseason packages are live, and we are offering a great deal. According to our lead ref analyst, Joe Gibbs , a pool of about eight referees legitimately could have been assigned to this game.

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We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Sharp Betting Packages. He started his career as a side judge in , and was promoted to referee three years later. Lions game. Although the contact, along with Robey-Coleman's failure to play the football, appeared to warrant a pass-interference flag, none was thrown on the play. Super Bowl View Larger Image. Don't expect Vinovich and his crew to have a massive impact on the outcome of Super Bowl Learn More. Same team. Why The Chiefs Will Win. The ability to update your Bet Labs alert settings have changed. No Code Needed. Enter your email to unlock this article and get access to our email newsletter. The content on this page is for informational purposes only.

The appointment of Bill Vinovich to referee Super Bowl 58 between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers is only serving to add another layer of intrigue to this rematch of the Super Bowl. Vinovich was also in charge of that game when the Chiefs beat the 49ers The Chiefs are set as 1.

US Betting. Casino Gaming. Sports Betting Calculators. Sometimes, there is a question as to whether there was an offside or false start, and the refs huddle to discuss and deliver the verdict. Only six hallowed officials have been selected to appear in five separate Super Bowls and eight have been hired to work in four Super Bowls. Leaguewide over the last three seasons, in games Smith did not officiate, the following false start penalties were flagged:. Gaining insight into the way a game will be officiated can have immense value in the betting market. Odds Format American Decimal Fraction. They will swap out a couple of officials, but usually, most of the crew is the same crew the head referee worked with during the season. Super Bowl 58 Player Props. Our weekly postseason packages are live, and we are offering a great deal. How would you rate this article? Bill Vinovich Super Bowl history If you're looking for an edge based on the two previous Super Bowls he has been the head referee in, you won't find one. Cowboys game, that left only eight referees to choose from.