Espn nfl picks for week 4

If I'm placing bets on a Sunday, I'm not looking at full-game spreads or totals. Those are efficient markets that have been bet into all week. Instead, I'm looking for the obscure. It's my specialty anyway: It's what I build statistical models around to try and find an edge.

But what does all this mean from a betting perspective? And what are the best plays to help you make smart wagering decisions? Schatz: Increased parity in the NFL this year, starting with the fact that only one team is undefeated and only Houston is winless. You can see the parity in the Week 4 lines, with eight lines within a field goal and only two Philadelphia Snellings: I also note the parity, but more as it affects the futures market. The odds in the race to win the various divisions tend to swing wildly on early wins and losses. With all of the teams so bunched up, a win swing in either direction this weekend can completely shift the futures market.

Espn nfl picks for week 4

Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Atlanta Falcons Jacksonville Jaguars The Lions have covered 10 straight division games, tied for the 2nd-longest divisional cover streak in the Super Bowl era. The Packers are ATS this season, all as underdogs. Prime-time unders are Tua Tagovailoa is ATS in his career as an underdog outright. The Dolphins have covered four straight road games. Denver Broncos Justin Fields is ATS in his career. Both teams are ATS this season. Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns Lamar Jackson is ATS on the road in his career. Cincinnati Bengals They are outright and ATS as home underdogs under Vrabel. The Bengals have covered five straight meetings since

Email Print. Brown ankle and Josh Reynolds ankle.

ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 16 games in the league this week, and they offer some interesting win probabilities. Click on each game for more NFL Week 4 predictions for that matchup. All times MST. Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers, p. Lions have a More: What channel is Thursday Night Football on?

The Week 4 NFL schedule for the season is stacked with great matchups, and we've got you covered with what you need to know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game and a bold prediction for each matchup. Finally, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us final score picks for every game. Everything you want to know is here in one spot to help you get ready for a loaded weekend of NFL football. Let's get into the full Week 4 slate, including our first London game of the season, Josh Allen vs.

Espn nfl picks for week 4

Joe Burrow will be looking to get the ball to Ja'marr Chase often. Here's a way Cincinnati has gotten Chase some quick and easy catches. Video by Turron Davenport. The Week 4 NFL schedule for the season is stacked with great matchups, and we've got you covered with what you need to know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game and a bold prediction for each matchup. Analytics writer Seth Walder picks out each matchup's biggest X factor, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody hands out helpful fantasy football intel. Finally, Walder and Moody give us final score picks for every game. Everything you want to know is here in one spot to help you get ready for a loaded weekend of NFL football. Game times are Sunday unless otherwise noted. Storyline to watch: Both offenses have struggled to start the season.

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Stock down after the win: Red zone offense. The defense allowed Russell Wilson to cook on third down. Allen has gone over this in all three games this season. Purdy entered the day 0-of-3 this season on passes traveling plus air yards. That is also the second-most sacks taken by a Colts QB since the franchise moved to Indianapolis in Jim Harbaugh took 16 sacks in The last four division games have gone under the total. Fulghum: Josh Allen over He completed 29 of 40 passes for yards. Betting nugget: San Francisco has covered all five meetings since including playoffs. Christian Wilkins under 0. What to know for fantasy: New year, same problem.

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Matchup must-reads: Bears hope Herbert can continue to 'knock it forward' in Montgomery's absence The Raiders found ways to get Jacobs more involved Sunday. He now has four turnovers that have led to opposing points, including a strip sack returned for a touchdown against the Vikings. Doug Pederson returns to Philadelphia with a team that is clicking on both sides of the ball. After throwing a league-high times in the first three games, the Jets want to be balanced with Wilson back. He also tackled RB Alvin Kamara for a 6-yard loss and had a pass breakup. Under coach Ron Rivera, the Commanders have gone from to in , to in , and to last year. Hockenson foot and wide receivers Amon-Ra St. Stat to know: The Niners' Deebo Samuel has rushing yards this season, the most among players who are primarily wide receivers. The Browns needed a competent running game to take the pressure off rookie quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson , but totaled just 93 yards on the ground, including 24 from Thompson-Robinson. That performance came a week after allowing passing yards to the Los Angeles Chargers and two weeks after giving up rushing yards to the Philadelphia Eagles. Chicago Bears.